Ohio Is Still Purple

Or, I should say, a patchwork of red and blue. And those red parts have been knit into some pretty safe Republican districts. Gerrymandering works, doesn't it. And for the working families of the 5th District, the lack of a champion in Washington continues.

It was a very good thing that the Democratic Party played offense in a very Republican district, and that the Republican Party was compelled to expend extraordinary resources to retain the seat. I am hoping that the impressive exertions by the AFL/CIO and the Weirauch campaign will have a lasting positive effect in that area, leading to future gains.

Here are some things are probably obvious but deserve mention:

* Weirauch campaigned hard and well, showing a lot of improvement over the course of her three campaigns. She did not win, but she deserves some acknowledgment of that. And big thanks to her, to Bruce Weirauch, and to all of the campaign workers and volunteers and contributors who put so much into this race.

* Gov. Ted Strickland is very popular all across the state, but his support is not a silver bullet in hostile territory. Helpful, perhaps necessary, but not sufficient by itself.

* I don't know if Bob Latta's fear-mongering about illegal aliens won the race for him, but since it didn't clearly backfire I imagine that we are in for a wave of Tancredoism from GOP candidates across the board.

* Turnout was higher than I expected or that anecdotal reports suggested, although still low compared to regular elections. The GOTV was good on both sides, and Weirauch needed for it to be much better on her side than on the other.

* A couple of things were major obstacles to Weirauch, one that couldn't be avoided and the other that might have been. The first was the unfortunate fact that her opponent was from the county with the most Democratic voters. Weirauch needed to win Wood County, and that was a big challenge considering that her opponent has a long history of getting elected from there. The second was that the DCCC ad attacking Latta was too harsh. It is my impression that voters were as turned off by it as they were by the nasty negative ads in the GOP primary and the nasty ads against Weirauch.

* During my trips to the 5th District I witnessed some of the pain endured by working families from misplaced government priorities and bad policies. As Democrats we must not give up the fight in that part of the state. They need and deserve better representation than they are getting.

Nothing to do with "resources"

The result would have been the same if neither party had spent any money at all; if the Republicans had nominated Buehrer or not had a primary; or if one party had nominated a putrid heron and the other a plate of braised pus. Party label is the only thing that matters. No one votes for candidates; they vote against a party. Once they have decided which party to vote aganst, they stay in that rut for the rest of their lives.

Once for all: there is no center; there are no swing voters; there is no ticket-splitting; there is no party-switching. No one who clings to such basic misconceptions as these can hope to understand anything.

Reply

To some extent you are correct and on others you are wrong. If Buehrer would have been the nominee, Robin would have certainly won Wood county. The fact that she got 45 percent of the vote against Latta who has been elected seven times in Wood County is surprising. She would have also won in Lucas County as well which Bob represented in the State Senate. Also, Latta has great name recognition from the fact that his dad represented the district for 30 years. I'm not saying Robin would have beat Buehrer because I don't think she would have but it would have been as close as many were predicting.

Further, a stronger candidate may have done better but it was hard for me to see anyone beating Latta in such a short campaign.

I also think there are swing voters and party switchers. How else can you explain Rich Cordray and Jennifer Brunner winning Wood County but Ben Espy and Barbara Sykes not.

Wrong candidate and bad message

This race could have been won. The eastern counties and Wood have many swing voters and they need to energized. Polling either was a myth or wrong. Also, they clearly did not understand turnout and GOTV. Many stayed home for they felt she never gave them a reason to vote. Better turnout in Huron and Crawford, coupled with a better message and candidate would have made up the 10,000 votes. Message does trump money at times. Clearly in this race alittle of both was needed.

Holy Batman, Robin said call Commissioner Redfern,

Robin is now calling Commissioner Redfern to ask if she should run again. Get to the Batphone or Blogphone and let them know. Maybe Commissioer Redfern will select a winner. Less ego and more message will work.

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